Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristian Quiñonez vs Nathan Fletcher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"Reach 70"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Entram GymTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristian QuiñonezNow 1655
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Nathan FletcherNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.19
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
40%
Strike accuracy
60%
4.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
55%
Strike defense
58%
1.37
Takedown avg.
3.37
38%
Takedown accuracy
31%
84%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Cristian QuiñonezNathan Fletcher
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
3 (16%)
Submission
7 (64%)
6 (32%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathan Fletcher56%
Cristian Quiñonez 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Fletcher a 56% favorite over Cristian Quiñonez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cristian Quiñonez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1654), separated by just 1 points.

Nathan Fletcher enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cristian Quiñonez finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Fletcher 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.