Combat Edge Intelligence

Cynthia Calvillo vs Kay Hansen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-1Record8-6-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'3"
64"Reach63"
119 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeam10th Planet Jiu-Jitsu Buena Park

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cynthia CalvilloNow 1589
If they win+15→ 1604
If they lose-17→ 1572
Kay HansenNow 1578
If they win+17→ 1595
If they lose-15→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
3.01
38%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.19
64%
Strike defense
52%
1.80
Takedown avg.
1.83
44%
Takedown accuracy
23%
78%
Takedown defense
38%
0.81
Submission avg.
0.78

Trajectory

Cynthia CalvilloKay Hansen
155016001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
3 (30%)
Submission
4 (50%)
5 (50%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Kay Hansen62%
Cynthia Calvillo 38%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Kay Hansen a 62% favorite over Cynthia Calvillo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cynthia Calvillo's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1578), separated by just 11 points.

Cynthia Calvillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kay Hansen 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.