Combat Edge Intelligence

Cynthia Calvillo vs Molly McCann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-1Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
64"Reach62"
119 lbsWeight116 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cynthia CalvilloNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Molly McCannNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
5.39
38%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.72
64%
Strike defense
63%
1.80
Takedown avg.
1.84
44%
Takedown accuracy
37%
78%
Takedown defense
39%
0.81
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Cynthia CalvilloMolly McCann
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
3 (30%)
Submission
1 (7%)
5 (50%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Molly McCann60%
Cynthia Calvillo 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Molly McCann a 60% favorite over Cynthia Calvillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1596), separated by just 7 points.

Molly McCann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cynthia Calvillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Molly McCann 50%.

Cynthia Calvillo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.