Combat Edge Intelligence

Cynthia Calvillo vs Valerie Letourneau

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-1Record10-7-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'7"
64"Reach68,0"
119 lbsWeight116 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cynthia CalvilloNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Valerie LetourneauNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
4.51
38%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.40
64%
Strike defense
59%
1.80
Takedown avg.
0.77
44%
Takedown accuracy
45%
78%
Takedown defense
67%
0.81
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Cynthia CalvilloValerie Letourneau
1600165020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
3 (30%)
Submission
1 (10%)
5 (50%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cynthia Calvillo and Valerie Letourneau within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1582), separated by just 7 points.

Cynthia Calvillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Valerie Letourneau 50%.

Valerie Letourneau carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.