Cyrillo Padilha Neto vs Dedrek Sanders
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Renovaco Fight TeamTeamAnchorage Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1532
If they lose-25→ 1484
If they win+25→ 1524
If they lose-23→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cyrillo Padilha NetoDedrek Sanders
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dedrek Sanders56%
Cyrillo Padilha Neto 44%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Dedrek Sanders a 56% favorite over Cyrillo Padilha Neto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cyrillo Padilha Neto's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1499), separated by just 10 points.
Cyrillo Padilha Neto finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Dedrek Sanders 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.