Dalton Rosta vs Marco Tulio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record14-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75"Reach74"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dalton RostaMarco Tulio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dalton Rosta and Marco Tulio within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1667), separated by just 0 points.
Dalton Rosta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dalton Rosta finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.