Combat Edge Intelligence

Damian Rzepecki vs Elves Brener

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-0Record16-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73.6"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Top Fit Center Piotrkow TrybunalskiTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damian RzepeckiNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Elves BrenerNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1480 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.99
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.30
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.23
TBD
Takedown accuracy
24%
TBD
Takedown defense
76%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Damian RzepeckiElves Brener
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
5 (50%)
Submission
11 (69%)
1 (10%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Damian Rzepecki62%
Elves Brener 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Damian Rzepecki a 62% favorite over Elves Brener in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1692), separated by just 1 points.

Damian Rzepecki enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Damian Rzepecki finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Elves Brener 88%.

Damian Rzepecki carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.