Damir Ismagulov vs Rafa García
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-3-0Record19-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
74"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Boets MMATeamTeam Elevation
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1779
If they lose-12→ 1755
If they win+17→ 1773
If they lose-15→ 1741
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Damir IsmagulovRafa García
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafa García67%
Damir Ismagulov 33%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafa García a 67% favorite over Damir Ismagulov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damir Ismagulov's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1767 vs 1756), separated by just 11 points.
Damir Ismagulov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Rafa García enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Damir Ismagulov finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Rafa García 56%.
Damir Ismagulov and Rafa García share 1 common opponent: Grant Dawson.
Damir Ismagulov carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.