Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Evensen vs Jamal Pogues

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jamal Pogues
us

Jamal Pogues

“The Stormtrooper”

11-5-0HeavyweightUFC

1628Solid

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record11-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
252 lbsWeight266 lbs
TBDTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan EvensenNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Jamal PoguesNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.27
Sig. strikes / min
3.36
11%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.17
38%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
2.40
0%
Takedown accuracy
48%
0%
Takedown defense
78%
3.99
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dan EvensenJamal Pogues
1550160016502007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
1 (10%)
Submission
1 (9%)
2 (20%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Jamal Pogues52%
Dan Evensen 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jamal Pogues a 52% favorite over Dan Evensen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1628), separated by just 1 points.

Dan Evensen enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dan Evensen finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jamal Pogues 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.