Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Henderson vs Robert Whittaker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-15-0Record26-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Team QuestTeamPMA Super Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan HendersonNow 1740
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728
Robert WhittakerNow 1739
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.44
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
47%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
52%
Strike defense
60%
1.52
Takedown avg.
0.73
53%
Takedown accuracy
38%
58%
Takedown defense
82%
0.34
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dan HendersonRobert Whittaker
1750201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

17 (53%)
KO/TKO
10 (38%)
1 (3%)
Submission
5 (19%)
14 (44%)
Decision
11 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Whittaker70%
Dan Henderson 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Whittaker a 70% favorite over Dan Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Henderson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1740 vs 1739), separated by just 1 points.

Robert Whittaker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dan Henderson finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.