Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Severn vs Mick Parkin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Severn
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Dan Severn

“The Beast”

101-19-7Heavyweight

1715Good

Tale of the tape

101-19-7Record10-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach 79"
253 lbsWeight263 lbs
The Beast AcademyTeamUnit 1 Martial Arts and Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan SevernNow 1715
If they win+12→ 1727
If they lose-12→ 1703
Mick ParkinNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
4.91
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.15
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.49
TBD
Takedown accuracy
42%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Dan SevernMick Parkin
16001650170017502010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

23 (23%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
54 (53%)
Submission
1 (10%)
24 (24%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Mick Parkin59%
Dan Severn 41%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Mick Parkin a 59% favorite over Dan Severn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Severn's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1709), separated by just 6 points.

Dan Severn finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Mick Parkin 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.