Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Barez vs Jaime Alvarez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record8-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'8"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Entram GymTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel BarezNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Jaime AlvarezNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.65
Sig. strikes / min
2.73
50%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.53
50%
Strike defense
57%
1.93
Takedown avg.
1
29%
Takedown accuracy
33%
80%
Takedown defense
50%
0.64
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel BarezJaime Alvarez
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
6 (35%)
Submission
2 (25%)
4 (24%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Barez63%
Jaime Alvarez 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Barez a 63% favorite over Jaime Alvarez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1591), separated by just 3 points.

Daniel Barez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jaime Alvarez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Barez finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Jaime Alvarez 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.