Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Frunza vs Gil Castillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record8-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black House SantiagoTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel FrunzaNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Gil CastilloNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.30
Sig. strikes / min
0.60
40%
Strike accuracy
45%
6.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
57%
Strike defense
44%
0
Takedown avg.
3.33
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
60%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel FrunzaGil Castillo
155016002004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
1 (11%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Daniel Frunza and Gil Castillo within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1576), separated by just 2 points.

Daniel Frunza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Frunza finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Gil Castillo 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.