Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Marcos vs Felipe Lima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Felipe Lima
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Felipe Lima

“Jungle Boy”

14-2-0BantamweightUFC

1716Good

Tale of the tape

18-1-0Record14-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
69"Reach68″
135 lbsWeight146 lbs
Los Perros SarnososTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

Daniel Marcos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Felipe Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel MarcosNow 1767
If they win+14→ 1781
If they lose-18→ 1749
Felipe LimaNow 1716
If they win+18→ 1734
If they lose-14→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.11
Sig. strikes / min
2.86
54%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
62%
Strike defense
65%
0.99
Takedown avg.
2.18
46%
Takedown accuracy
27%
85%
Takedown defense
86%
0
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Daniel MarcosFelipe Lima
1700175020242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
1 (6%)
Submission
3 (21%)
9 (50%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Marcos62%
Felipe Lima 38%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Marcos a 62% favorite over Felipe Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Daniel Marcos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1716, a 51-point edge.

Daniel Marcos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Lima 50%.

Daniel Marcos and Felipe Lima share 1 common opponent: Miles Johns.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2025
Miles Johns
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2024