
Daniel Marcos vs Felipe Lima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Daniel Marcos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Felipe Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Marcos a 62% favorite over Felipe Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Daniel Marcos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1716, a 51-point edge.
Daniel Marcos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Lima 50%.
Daniel Marcos and Felipe Lima share 1 common opponent: Miles Johns.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.