Daniel Rodriguez vs Rick Story
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-5-0Record21-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74"Reach40,0"
184 lbsWeight170 lbs
10th Planet Jiu-JitsuTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1759
If they lose-12→ 1735
If they win+12→ 1756
If they lose-12→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel RodriguezRick Story
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Rodriguez67%
Rick Story 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Rodriguez a 67% favorite over Rick Story in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1747 vs 1744), separated by just 3 points.
Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Daniel Rodriguez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Rick Story 43%.
Daniel Rodriguez and Rick Story share 1 common opponent: Kelvin Gastelum.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.