Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Rutkowski vs Josh Emmett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-4-0Record19-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
67"Reach70"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cross Fight RadomTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel RutkowskiNow 1715
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
Josh EmmettNow 1712
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.72
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.43
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.08
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
44%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

Daniel RutkowskiJosh Emmett
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (11%)
11 (58%)
Decision
10 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Rutkowski62%
Josh Emmett 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Rutkowski a 62% favorite over Josh Emmett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1712), separated by just 3 points.

Daniel Rutkowski enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Rutkowski finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Josh Emmett 47%.

Josh Emmett carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.