Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Henry vs Lerryan Douglas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Henry

Danny Henry

“The Hatchet”

12-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record14-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73,0"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Higher Level MMATeamKiller Bees

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny HenryNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Lerryan DouglasNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.20
Sig. strikes / min
11.67
52%
Strike accuracy
88%
4.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5
46%
Strike defense
67%
0.74
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
0%
2.23
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Danny HenryLerryan Douglas
155016001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
5 (42%)
Submission
3 (21%)
2 (17%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Lerryan Douglas66%
Danny Henry 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lerryan Douglas a 66% favorite over Danny Henry in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danny Henry's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.

Danny Henry enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lerryan Douglas enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Danny Henry finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Lerryan Douglas 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.