Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Martinez vs Kiru Sahota

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record12-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Alliance MMATeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny MartinezNow 1616
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604
Kiru SahotaNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
29%
Strike accuracy
57%
3.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.47
64%
Strike defense
42%
3
Takedown avg.
1
45%
Takedown accuracy
33%
37%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Danny MartinezKiru Sahota
16001650201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (43%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
4 (19%)
Submission
2 (17%)
8 (38%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Kiru Sahota55%
Danny Martinez 45%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Kiru Sahota a 55% favorite over Danny Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danny Martinez's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1609), separated by just 7 points.

Danny Martinez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kiru Sahota enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Danny Martinez finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Kiru Sahota 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.