Combat Edge Intelligence

Darragh Kelly vs Jai Herbert

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Darragh Kelly
ie

Darragh Kelly

“Moville Mauler”

9-1-0FeatherweightPFL

1672Good
Jai Herbert

Jai Herbert

“The Black Country Banger”

14-6-1LightweightUFC

1674Good

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record14-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'1"
73"Reach77"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamRenegade Jiu Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darragh KellyNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Jai HerbertNow 1674
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.07
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
21%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Darragh KellyJai Herbert
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
5 (56%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (22%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Darragh Kelly and Jai Herbert within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1674), separated by just 2 points.

Darragh Kelly finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jai Herbert 79%.

Jai Herbert carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.