Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrius Flowers vs Matt Ricehouse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-8-1Record6-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamRodrigo Vaghi Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darrius FlowersNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Matt RicehouseNow 1587
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
0.98
Takedown avg.
TBD
29%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Darrius FlowersMatt Ricehouse
1550160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
1 (8%)
Submission
1 (17%)
3 (23%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Darrius Flowers62%
Matt Ricehouse 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darrius Flowers a 62% favorite over Matt Ricehouse in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Ricehouse's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1587), separated by just 1 points.

Matt Ricehouse enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Darrius Flowers finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Matt Ricehouse 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.