Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrius Flowers vs Tim Wilde

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Wilde

Tim Wilde

“The Experiment”

17-7-1LightweightCage Warriors

1586Solid

Tale of the tape

13-8-1Record17-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
71"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamRenegade MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darrius FlowersNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Tim WildeNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
0.98
Takedown avg.
TBD
29%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Darrius FlowersTim Wilde
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
1 (8%)
Submission
1 (6%)
3 (23%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Darrius Flowers66%
Tim Wilde 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darrius Flowers a 66% favorite over Tim Wilde in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1586), separated by just 0 points.

Tim Wilde enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Darrius Flowers finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Tim Wilde 47%.

Tim Wilde carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.