Combat Edge Intelligence

David Dvořák vs Wilson Reis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record28-14-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'4"
68"Reach65,0"
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
All Sports AcademyTeamBrazilian Jiu-Jitsu United

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David DvořákNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Wilson ReisNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.48
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
43%
Strike accuracy
30%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
60%
Strike defense
56%
0.58
Takedown avg.
5.15
30%
Takedown accuracy
43%
70%
Takedown defense
47%
0.19
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

David DvořákWilson Reis
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (40%)
Submission
13 (46%)
4 (20%)
Decision
15 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

David Dvořák63%
Wilson Reis 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes David Dvořák a 63% favorite over Wilson Reis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1652), separated by just 7 points.

David Dvořák enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

David Dvořák finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.

David Dvořák carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.