Combat Edge Intelligence

David Marshall vs Taylor Michels

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamAcademy of Combat Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David MarshallNow 1490
If they win+25→ 1515
If they lose-23→ 1467
Taylor MichelsNow 1498
If they win+23→ 1521
If they lose-25→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1485 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David MarshallTaylor Michels
1500201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
6 (75%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Taylor Michels72%
David Marshall 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Michels a 72% favorite over David Marshall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1490 vs 1498), separated by just 8 points.

David Marshall enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

David Marshall finishes 88% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.