Combat Edge Intelligence

David Terrell vs Dustin Stoltzfus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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David Terrell

David Terrell

“The Soul Assassin”

6-2-0MiddleweightUFC

1634Solid

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record16-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamFrankers Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David TerrellNow 1634
If they win+24→ 1658
If they lose-24→ 1610
Dustin StoltzfusNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.34
Sig. strikes / min
3.30
63%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
37%
Strike defense
48%
5.54
Takedown avg.
2.08
50%
Takedown accuracy
10%
0%
Takedown defense
47%
5.54
Submission avg.
1.11

Trajectory

David TerrellDustin Stoltzfus
1550160016502004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
4 (67%)
Submission
6 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting David Terrell and Dustin Stoltzfus within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1637), separated by just 3 points.

David Terrell enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dustin Stoltzfus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

David Terrell finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Stoltzfus 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.