Combat Edge Intelligence

David Zawada vs Stephen Regman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-10-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach78,0"
185 lbsWeight163 lbs
UFD GymTeamKiller B

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David ZawadaNow 1584
If they win+12→ 1596
If they lose-12→ 1572
Stephen RegmanNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
1.41
41%
Strike accuracy
60%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.93
56%
Strike defense
24%
0.97
Takedown avg.
3.52
33%
Takedown accuracy
100%
57%
Takedown defense
0%
1.69
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David ZawadaStephen Regman
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (63%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
5 (26%)
Submission
1 (10%)
2 (11%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Stephen Regman64%
David Zawada 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Stephen Regman a 64% favorite over David Zawada in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Zawada's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1582), separated by just 2 points.

David Zawada enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

David Zawada finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Regman 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.