Combat Edge Intelligence

Denys Bondar vs Stewart Nicoll

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record8-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
69"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
YodTeamBroz Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denys BondarNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Stewart NicollNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
3.63
51%
Strike accuracy
39%
5.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.84
57%
Strike defense
50%
3.99
Takedown avg.
1.63
58%
Takedown accuracy
4%
63%
Takedown defense
29%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Denys BondarStewart Nicoll
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
10 (71%)
Submission
3 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Stewart Nicoll60%
Denys Bondar 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Stewart Nicoll a 60% favorite over Denys Bondar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Denys Bondar's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1605), separated by just 5 points.

Denys Bondar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Stewart Nicoll enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Denys Bondar finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Stewart Nicoll 88%.

Denys Bondar carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.