Combat Edge Intelligence

Derrick Mehmen vs Louie Sutherland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-10-0Record11-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
237 lbsWeight266 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Derrick MehmenNow 1600
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
Louie SutherlandNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
TBD
Strike accuracy
69%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
TBD
Strike defense
30%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.95
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Derrick MehmenLouie Sutherland
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
2 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (32%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Louie Sutherland66%
Derrick Mehmen 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 66% favorite over Derrick Mehmen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1605), separated by just 5 points.

Derrick Mehmen enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Derrick Mehmen finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Louie Sutherland 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.