Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Ferreira vs Esteban Ribovics

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record15-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
74"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego FerreiraNow 1726
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714
Esteban RibovicsNow 1728
If they win+16→ 1744
If they lose-16→ 1712

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.82
Sig. strikes / min
7.27
41%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
56%
Strike defense
55%
0.86
Takedown avg.
0.35
30%
Takedown accuracy
0%
58%
Takedown defense
66%
0.58
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Diego FerreiraEsteban Ribovics
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
7 (37%)
Submission
5 (33%)
7 (37%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Esteban Ribovics61%
Diego Ferreira 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Esteban Ribovics a 61% favorite over Diego Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1726 vs 1728), separated by just 2 points.

Diego Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Diego Ferreira finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Esteban Ribovics 80%.

Diego Ferreira and Esteban Ribovics share 1 common opponent: Mateusz Gamrot.

Diego Ferreira carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2021
Mateusz Gamrot
LossSubmission · 2026