Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Ferreira vs Nasrat Haqparast

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record18-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
74"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Fortis MMATeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego FerreiraNow 1726
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714
Nasrat HaqparastNow 1728
If they win+12→ 1740
If they lose-12→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.82
Sig. strikes / min
6.40
41%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.01
56%
Strike defense
63%
0.86
Takedown avg.
0.35
30%
Takedown accuracy
20%
58%
Takedown defense
85%
0.58
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Diego FerreiraNasrat Haqparast
1700175020242025

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
7 (37%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (37%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Nasrat Haqparast66%
Diego Ferreira 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nasrat Haqparast a 66% favorite over Diego Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1726 vs 1728), separated by just 2 points.

Diego Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Diego Ferreira finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.

Diego Ferreira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.