Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Nunes vs Nate Landwehr

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Diego Nunes
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Diego Nunes

“The Gun”

24-10-0LightweightCFS

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

24-10-0Record18-8-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
TBDReach72"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Evolucao ThaiTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego NunesNow 1639
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1627
Nate LandwehrNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
5.63
44%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
58%
Strike defense
52%
1.18
Takedown avg.
0.76
45%
Takedown accuracy
42%
65%
Takedown defense
72%
0.55
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Diego NunesNate Landwehr
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (29%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
10 (42%)
Submission
2 (11%)
7 (29%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Nate Landwehr64%
Diego Nunes 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nate Landwehr a 64% favorite over Diego Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1640), separated by just 1 points.

Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Diego Nunes finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nate Landwehr 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.