Combat Edge Intelligence

Dione Barbosa vs Lara Procopio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record9-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kings MMATeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dione BarbosaNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Lara ProcopioNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.21
Sig. strikes / min
5.64
45%
Strike accuracy
59%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.50
64%
Strike defense
47%
2.40
Takedown avg.
3.15
8%
Takedown accuracy
47%
64%
Takedown defense
50%
1.74
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Dione BarbosaLara Procopio
160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
4 (44%)
Submission
3 (33%)
5 (56%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Dione Barbosa59%
Lara Procopio 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dione Barbosa a 59% favorite over Lara Procopio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.

Lara Procopio enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dione Barbosa finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Lara Procopio 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.