Combat Edge Intelligence

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Philipe Lins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Philipe Lins
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Philipe Lins

“Monstro”

18-6-0Light HeavyweightMVP

1683Good

Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record18-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tobet Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diyar NurgozhayNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Philipe LinsNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
3.80
50%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.59
61%
Strike defense
46%
2.54
Takedown avg.
1.65
100%
Takedown accuracy
33%
100%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Diyar NurgozhayPhilipe Lins
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
2 (18%)
Submission
4 (22%)
3 (27%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Diyar Nurgozhay and Philipe Lins within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1683), separated by just 0 points.

Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Philipe Lins 72%.

Philipe Lins carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.