Combat Edge Intelligence

Djorden Santos vs Jesse Bongfeldt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record17-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
JAB PromotionsTeamCanadian Martial Arts Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Djorden SantosNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Jesse BongfeldtNow 1621
If they win+12→ 1633
If they lose-12→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
44%
Strike accuracy
62%
5.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.01
48%
Strike defense
50%
0.67
Takedown avg.
1.51
33%
Takedown accuracy
33%
87%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Djorden SantosJesse Bongfeldt
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
4 (36%)
Submission
10 (59%)
4 (36%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Djorden Santos60%
Jesse Bongfeldt 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Djorden Santos a 60% favorite over Jesse Bongfeldt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Bongfeldt's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1621), separated by just 2 points.

Jesse Bongfeldt enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Djorden Santos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Bongfeldt 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.