Combat Edge Intelligence

Djorden Santos vs Nissen Osterneck

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
JAB PromotionsTeamRelson Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Djorden SantosNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Nissen OsterneckNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
44%
Strike accuracy
58%
5.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
48%
Strike defense
41%
0.67
Takedown avg.
0.63
33%
Takedown accuracy
13%
87%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
1.26

Trajectory

Djorden SantosNissen Osterneck
1600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
4 (36%)
Submission
7 (54%)
4 (36%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Djorden Santos62%
Nissen Osterneck 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Djorden Santos a 62% favorite over Nissen Osterneck in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nissen Osterneck's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1620), separated by just 1 points.

Djorden Santos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Nissen Osterneck 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.