Combat Edge Intelligence

Dmitriy Aryshev vs Mingyang Zhang

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mingyang Zhang
cn

Mingyang Zhang

“Mountain Tiger”

19-8-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1656Good

Tale of the tape

15-10-1Record19-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
-Reach75"
187 lbsWeight205 lbs
Sech ProTeamQingdao Xinjiang International Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dmitriy AryshevNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Mingyang ZhangNow 1656
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
7.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
60%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.33
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dmitriy AryshevMingyang Zhang
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (80%)
KO/TKO
13 (68%)
2 (13%)
Submission
6 (32%)
1 (7%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dmitriy Aryshev and Mingyang Zhang within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1656), separated by just 4 points.

Mingyang Zhang enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dmitriy Aryshev finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Mingyang Zhang 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.