Combat Edge Intelligence

Dmitriy Aryshev vs Nasrudin Nasrudinov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-10-1Record10-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
187 lbsWeight189 lbs
Sech ProTeamFight Club Akhmat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dmitriy AryshevNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Nasrudin NasrudinovNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.03
TBD
Strike accuracy
88%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.29
TBD
Strike defense
75%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.20
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
40%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dmitriy AryshevNasrudin Nasrudinov
165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (80%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
2 (13%)
Submission
1 (10%)
1 (7%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Dmitriy Aryshev59%
Nasrudin Nasrudinov 41%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Dmitriy Aryshev a 59% favorite over Nasrudin Nasrudinov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nasrudin Nasrudinov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1656), separated by just 4 points.

Dmitriy Aryshev finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Nasrudin Nasrudinov 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.