Combat Edge Intelligence

Dmytrii Hrytsenko vs Shimon Smotritsky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
N/AReachTBD
159 lbsWeight170 lbs
Storm Fight ClubTeamMoshik Box

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dmytrii HrytsenkoNow 1624
If they win+24→ 1648
If they lose-24→ 1600
Shimon SmotritskyNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.52
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.67
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.52
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dmytrii HrytsenkoShimon Smotritsky
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
2 (22%)
Submission
1 (10%)
3 (33%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Shimon Smotritsky59%
Dmytrii Hrytsenko 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shimon Smotritsky a 59% favorite over Dmytrii Hrytsenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dmytrii Hrytsenko's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.

Shimon Smotritsky enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dmytrii Hrytsenko finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shimon Smotritsky 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.