Combat Edge Intelligence

Dom Mar Fan vs James Llontop

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dom Mar Fan
au

Dom Mar Fan

“Street Buddha”

9-3-0LightweightUFC

1629Solid

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75" Reach73″
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Compton Training CentreTeamTeam FFC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dom Mar FanNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
James LlontopNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
56%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.12
44%
Strike defense
58%
2
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
67%
Takedown defense
55%
0.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dom Mar FanJames Llontop
1500155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
3 (33%)
Submission
1 (7%)
5 (56%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Dom Mar Fan60%
James Llontop 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dom Mar Fan a 60% favorite over James Llontop in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans James Llontop's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1631), separated by just 2 points.

James Llontop enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dom Mar Fan finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, James Llontop 57%.

Dom Mar Fan carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.