Dom Mar Fan vs Joe Giannetti
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record16-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75" Reach42,0"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Compton Training CentreTeamSouth Shore Sportfighting
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dom Mar FanJoe Giannetti
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dom Mar Fan61%
Joe Giannetti 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dom Mar Fan a 61% favorite over Joe Giannetti in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Giannetti's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1630), separated by just 1 points.
Joe Giannetti enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dom Mar Fan finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Joe Giannetti 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.