Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hoon Choi vs Jesus Aguilar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record12-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'3"
66"Reach62"
125 lbsWeight128 lbs
Pohang Team MADTeamVictory Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dong Hoon ChoiNow 1682
If they win+24→ 1706
If they lose-24→ 1658
Jesus AguilarNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.54
Sig. strikes / min
2.54
66%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.29
59%
Strike defense
61%
0.46
Takedown avg.
1.52
14%
Takedown accuracy
30%
82%
Takedown defense
45%
0
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Dong Hoon ChoiJesus Aguilar
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (58%)
5 (56%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Jesus Aguilar55%
Dong Hoon Choi 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jesus Aguilar a 55% favorite over Dong Hoon Choi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1685), separated by just 3 points.

Dong Hoon Choi enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Dong Hoon Choi finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Jesus Aguilar 67%.

Dong Hoon Choi carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.