Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Stoltzfus vs Mark Munoz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Munoz
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Mark Munoz

“The Filipino Wrecking Machine”

14-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record14-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Frankers Fight TeamTeamReign MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin StoltzfusNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Mark MunozNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
45%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.26
48%
Strike defense
57%
2.08
Takedown avg.
3.17
10%
Takedown accuracy
30%
47%
Takedown defense
58%
1.11
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Dustin StoltzfusMark Munoz
16502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
6 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (40%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Stoltzfus56%
Mark Munoz 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Stoltzfus a 56% favorite over Mark Munoz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Munoz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1639), separated by just 2 points.

Dustin Stoltzfus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mark Munoz 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.