Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Stoltzfus vs Patrick Walsh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Patrick Walsh
us

Patrick Walsh

“The Beast of the East”

10-3-0HeavyweightCES

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight258 lbs
Frankers Fight TeamTeamWai Kru MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin StoltzfusNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Patrick WalshNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
2.03
45%
Strike accuracy
19%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
48%
Strike defense
65%
2.08
Takedown avg.
3
10%
Takedown accuracy
55%
47%
Takedown defense
100%
1.11
Submission avg.
1.50

Trajectory

Dustin StoltzfusPatrick Walsh
1600165020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
6 (40%)
Submission
2 (20%)
6 (40%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Walsh52%
Dustin Stoltzfus 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Walsh a 52% favorite over Dustin Stoltzfus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1639), separated by just 2 points.

Dustin Stoltzfus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Walsh 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.