Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Stoltzfus vs Tom DeBlass

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record9-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Frankers Fight TeamTeamRicardo Almeida Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin StoltzfusNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Tom DeBlassNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
1.50
45%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.43
48%
Strike defense
38%
2.08
Takedown avg.
1
10%
Takedown accuracy
50%
47%
Takedown defense
29%
1.11
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Dustin StoltzfusTom DeBlass
155016001650201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
6 (40%)
Submission
2 (22%)
6 (40%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Stoltzfus52%
Tom DeBlass 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Stoltzfus a 52% favorite over Tom DeBlass in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tom DeBlass's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1639), separated by just 2 points.

Dustin Stoltzfus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tom DeBlass enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Tom DeBlass 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.