Combat Edge Intelligence

Ed Ratcliff vs Lando Vannata

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record12-8-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Alliance MMATeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ed RatcliffNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Lando VannataNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
4.52
39%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.76
64%
Strike defense
55%
0.28
Takedown avg.
1.09
17%
Takedown accuracy
38%
54%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Ed RatcliffLando Vannata
160016502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
1 (14%)
Submission
5 (42%)
1 (14%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Lando Vannata54%
Ed Ratcliff 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lando Vannata a 54% favorite over Ed Ratcliff in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ed Ratcliff's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1571), separated by just 3 points.

Ed Ratcliff enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ed Ratcliff finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Lando Vannata 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.