Combat Edge Intelligence

Eddie Mendez vs Elias Urbina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-1Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
House of ChampionsTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eddie MendezNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Elias UrbinaNow 1561
If they win+23→ 1584
If they lose-25→ 1536

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.71
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
33%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.17
11%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eddie MendezElias Urbina
155020142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
1 (13%)
Submission
2 (40%)
4 (50%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Elias Urbina51%
Eddie Mendez 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Elias Urbina a 51% favorite over Eddie Mendez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1561), separated by just 8 points.

Eddie Mendez finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Elias Urbina 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.