Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Neves vs Jared Vanderaa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach80"
265 lbsWeight259 lbs
Eduardo Machado TeamTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo NevesNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Jared VanderaaNow 1585
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.69
Sig. strikes / min
4.96
66%
Strike accuracy
45%
6.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
56%
Strike defense
45%
5.77
Takedown avg.
0.18
67%
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
20%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eduardo NevesJared Vanderaa
155016001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (100%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (35%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduardo Neves60%
Jared Vanderaa 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Neves a 60% favorite over Jared Vanderaa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1585), separated by just 4 points.

Jared Vanderaa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Eduardo Neves finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jared Vanderaa 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.