Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Boudegzdame vs James Barnes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record14-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
69"Reach39,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
La Bonne EcoleTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias BoudegzdameNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
James BarnesNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
TBD
Strike defense
39%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.08
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
40%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elias BoudegzdameJames Barnes
160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
17 (85%)
Submission
11 (79%)
1 (5%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Elias Boudegzdame54%
James Barnes 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elias Boudegzdame a 54% favorite over James Barnes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.

James Barnes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elias Boudegzdame finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, James Barnes 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.