Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Boudegzdame vs Nate Landwehr

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record18-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
69"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
La Bonne EcoleTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias BoudegzdameNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Nate LandwehrNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.63
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
42%
TBD
Takedown defense
72%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Elias BoudegzdameNate Landwehr
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
18 (86%)
Submission
2 (11%)
1 (5%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Elias Boudegzdame72%
Nate Landwehr 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elias Boudegzdame a 72% favorite over Nate Landwehr in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Landwehr's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1640), separated by just 1 points.

Elias Boudegzdame enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Elias Boudegzdame finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Nate Landwehr 61%.

Nate Landwehr carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.