Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Urbina vs Jake Rosholt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record12-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
TBDHeight6'1"
TBDReachTBD
184 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Takedown

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias UrbinaNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Jake RosholtNow 1560
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
38%
Strike accuracy
54%
6.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.33
51%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
6.51
0%
Takedown accuracy
69%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
1.78

Trajectory

Elias UrbinaJake Rosholt
15501600201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
2 (40%)
Submission
6 (50%)
1 (20%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Elias Urbina57%
Jake Rosholt 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elias Urbina a 57% favorite over Jake Rosholt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1560), separated by just 1 points.

Jake Rosholt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elias Urbina finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jake Rosholt 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.