Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Urbina vs Jamie Pickett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jamie Pickett
us

Jamie Pickett

“The Nightwolf”

13-11-0MiddleweightUFC

1556Solid

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record13-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight6'1"
TBDReach 80"
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamThe HitPit Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias UrbinaNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Jamie PickettNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
2.65
38%
Strike accuracy
48%
6.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
51%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
1.26
0%
Takedown accuracy
40%
0%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Elias UrbinaJamie Pickett
155016001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
2 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Elias Urbina59%
Jamie Pickett 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Elias Urbina a 59% favorite over Jamie Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1556), separated by just 5 points.

Jamie Pickett enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Elias Urbina finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Pickett 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.